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$SOL trading volume has hit a 3-month low, and active addresses have dropped by 50%.1 day ago The public chain $SOL has experienced a significant drop after breaking key support, with ecosystems like JUP and JTO also following the decline. Technical indicators suggest that SOL could gain additional momentum if a golden cross forms, which could push the price towards $209 and beyond. However, if buying pressure weakens, SOL could face another pullback, with key support levels at $187 and $175.8. The number of SOL whales – wallets holding at least 10,000 SOL – has seen a significant decline in recent days, falling from 5,131 on February 4 to 5,053 on February 11. This comes after the all-time high of 5,167 on January 25, after which whale holdings began to decline. This decline suggests that some large holders were selling their positions, which could create selling pressure on the SOL price. Solana (SOL) price is trying to reclaim the $200 level after recently dropping below $190. This recovery comes as the market cap approaches $97 billion, reflecting renewed investor interest. Technical indicators suggest that SOL could gain additional momentum if a golden cross forms, which could push the price towards $209 and beyond. However, if buying pressure weakens, SOL could face another pullback, with key support levels at $187 and $175.8. The number of SOL whales – wallets holding at least 10,000 SOL – has seen a significant decline in recent days, falling from 5,131 on February 4 to 5,053 on February 11. This comes after the all-time high of 5,167 on January 25, after which whale holdings began to decline. This decline suggests that some large holders were selling their positions, which could create selling pressure on the SOL price. Keeping track of whale activity is crucial as these large holders play a major role in market movements. After reaching 5,053, the whale count started to rise again, currently at 5,090. This slow recovery may indicate renewed confidence among large investors, but the overall direction remains uncertain. If whales continue to accumulate, it could support Solana’s price, while a slump or further decline could signal further weakness. Solana's DMI shows that buyers are trying to take control: Solana’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) chart shows that the Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 18.7, down from 22.2 yesterday. A falling ADX indicates a weakening trend strength, suggesting that the previous downtrend may be losing momentum. At the same time, the +DI rose from 11.3 to 19, while the -DI fell from 26.4 to 19, indicating a shift in buying and selling pressures.

As per recent market analysis, Cardano (ADA) is experiencing significant price fluctuations ahead of the upcoming spot ETF decision. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to announce its verdict by March 27, 2025. This impending decision has led to notable movements among large ADA holders, raising questions about market sentiment. Cardano Price Drops as Bearish Trend Strengthens Over the past weeks, ADA price has shown signs of continuous price reduction, as market analysts predict its value will approach $0.60 in upcoming weeks. The current ADA price stands at $0.743898, having declined by 0.04920% compared to the previous close. Traders and investors show bearish market attitudes through this downturn pattern. Following its price surge in November 2024, ADA has developed bearish market conditions. Since the last peak, ADA has created a series of lower and lower highs, which reached their minimum at $0.845 and their highest point at $1.13 during January 2025. According to this formation, institutional investors seem to anticipate additional price decreases. The Fixed Range Volume Profile analysis since February 2024 highlights significant high-volume nodes at $0.74, $0.59, and $0.45. The recent months have seen ADA defend itself at its Value Area High at $0.876. The market shows bearish tendencies, even though prices rose momentarily around the $0.68 level. Futures Open Interest and Liquidations The futures market open interest for Cardano demonstrated substantial growth from late November 2024 because traders intensively participated and speculated. ADA’s price escalated from $0.40 to surpass $1.20 during its top point as the market experienced this increase. The increased open interest demonstrates that more traders purchase futures contracts as they expect additional market price fluctuations. As open interest climbs, traders expect more price volatility because they simultaneously increase their leveraged positions. Unstable price movements because of these circumstances result in additional forced asset sales. The recent volatility has triggered major selling events across all positions, which have become evident through available market data. The ADA’s long position experienced a sudden rise in liquidations during the time period when the ADA price exceeded $1.20 around late November through early December 2024. Traders actively engage with leveraged positions on the market at increasing levels, which exposes it to significant sudden sales that can trigger a chain reaction in price movement. The increasing number of price-driven liquidations demonstrates why risk management principles matter for future trading because traders may face sudden sell-offs. Price Prediction and Market Outlook ADA’s market conditions indicate that it will continue decreasing in value. During a period of two weeks, ADA may construct a range between $0.68 and $0.81. The recovery of the downtrend for Cardano requires bulls to stop creating lower lows by sustaining a stable trading range. The SEC is anticipated to release its decision regarding the Cardano spot ETF, which will generate additional uncertainty for market participants. If the upcoming decision turns out favorable for investors, the market will react positively toward ADA and push its price upward. When a negative outcome occurs, it may worsen the existing downward price movement. Conclusion The Cardano market shows bearish movements primarily driven by technical market behavior and upcoming legal compliance decisions. Investors and traders should remain vigilant because volatility has risen along with substantial price fluctuations. ADA market navigation during the following weeks will heavily depend on traders monitoring support and resistance levels and their ongoing regulatory intelligence tracking. FAQs What is the current price prediction for Cardano (ADA)? Analysts predict a continued downtrend, with ADA potentially reaching $0.60 in the coming weeks unless a strong reversal occurs. How does the SEC’s decision on the Cardano spot ETF impact its price? A positive decision could boost investor confidence and increase ADA’s price, while a rejection might accelerate the downward trend. Why is ADA’s market structure currently bearish? ADA has formed lower and lower highs since January 2025, indicating a sustained bearish market trend. What does a surge in futures open interest mean for ADA? An increase in open interest suggests more traders are entering the market, leading to higher volatility and potential liquidations. How can traders manage risks in a volatile ADA market? To reduce the risk of significant losses, traders should use stop-loss orders, avoid excessive leverage, and monitor liquidation levels. Glossary Spot ETF An Exchange-Traded Fund that directly holds the underlying asset, such as Cardano (ADA), rather than derivatives. Futures Open Interest The total number of outstanding futures contracts that have not been settled. A rise in open interest indicates increasing trader participation. Liquidations Forced closing of leveraged positions when the market moves against a trader’s bet, leading to significant losses. Value Area High (VAH) The upper boundary of the area where most trading activity occurred within a given time frame. Fixed Range Volume Profile A technical indicator that shows volume distribution over a specific price range, highlighting key support and resistance zones. Reference TradingView Coinglass

Sanctioned regions and entities collectively received $15.8 billion in cryptocurrency during 2024, representing around 39% of illicit crypto transactions. While OFAC issued 13 crypto-related designations – fewer than in 2023 – it was still the second-highest number recorded in the past seven years. Unlike previous years, sanctioned jurisdictions accounted for a larger portion of overall sanctions-related crypto activity, making up nearly 60% of the total value by the end of the year. According to Chainalysis’ report shared with CryptoPotato, Iran has played a significant role in this trend. Iran’s Crypto Surge Following the 1979 US Embassy hostage crisis in Tehran, the US imposed sweeping financial sanctions on Iran. Despite these restrictions, Iran continues to rely on the global financial system for its stability and liquidity. The country’s volatile and depreciating currency, combined with limited access to international banks, has led many individuals and businesses to seek alternative financial methods to maintain economic mobility. Iranian services saw a notable rise in their share of sanctions-related crypto transactions in 2024. This was driven by mounting distrust in the government and continued geopolitical turmoil. Chainalysis found that these financial movements are not predominantly tied to illicit activities or government-led initiatives but rather reflect Iranian citizens’ growing concerns about their government and their urgent desire to move assets out of the country. During times of increased geopolitical tension involving Iran, cryptocurrency outflows from Iranian exchanges surged, especially on the day of or shortly after conflict-related events. Google Trends data supports this correlation, revealing global spikes in searches for “Iran Israel” on April 14th and October 1st – dates that closely coincide with escalations in conflict. This trend comes as the Iranian Rial experiences sharp fluctuations in response to political and military events. Interestingly, although outflows rose across all asset types, including stablecoins, Chainalysis observed a disproportionately high volume of Bitcoin transactions. Significant spikes in Bitcoin outflows coincided with periods when reports suggested Iran was preparing missile strikes, with notable peaks occurring on April 9th and 14th, 2024, as well as in late September and early October of that year. No-KYC Exchanges Are Back As Iran’s use of cryptocurrency has expanded in response to financial restrictions and geopolitical instability, a similar trend has emerged in Russia, where no-KYC exchanges continue to facilitate transactions despite enforcement efforts. As Iran’s use of cryptocurrency has expanded in response to financial restrictions and geopolitical instability, a similar trend has emerged in Russia, where no-KYC exchanges continue to facilitate transactions despite enforcement efforts. Chainalysis observed that the total number of active no-KYC exchanges has grown, as smaller startups step in to replace those that were dismantled. However, the overall inflows have dropped, which was indicative of the impact of US and international sanctions. Many of these platforms cater to Russian-speaking users and process transactions with sanctioned Russian banks, yet their lack of clear incorporation details makes it difficult to determine where they are based. The post Iranian Crypto Outflows Spiked Following Geopolitical Tensions in 2024 appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Bitcoin rose 2.1% over the past 24 hours after the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting revealed policymakers discussed potentially pausing or slowing their balance-sheet reduction program amid debt-ceiling concerns. Bitcoin’s price climbed from $94,134 yesterday to $96,180 an hour after the release. “Participants indicated that, provided the economy remained near maximum employment, they would want to see further progress on inflation before making additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate,” the minutes showed. Officials maintained the Fed’s benchmark policy rate between 4.25% and 4.5% at the January meeting. The minutes revealed that “many participants noted that the committee could hold the policy rate at a restrictive level if the economy remained strong and inflation remained elevated.” The Treasury Department has been employing extraordinary measures to extend its ability to pay federal government expenses since reaching the statutory debt limit in January. President Donald Trump has supported House Republicans’ proposal to raise the debt ceiling by $4 trillion, though negotiations are expected to take months. Policymakers are monitoring Trump’s economic policy plans, including proposed increased tariffs on US trading partners and immigration restrictions, which could impact inflation, labor markets, and economic growth. Futures markets currently indicate investors are pricing in one rate cut in 2025, with the possibility of a second.

Synthetic founder Kain Warwick compared the similarities between ICO craze and meme coin frenzy. Warwick said that meme coins rose as a result of VC manipulation in the last market cycle. Warwick claims that influencers have played a key role in pushing scam tokens this cycle. Kain Warwick, the Australian founder of Synthetix and Infinex, said the current meme coin frenzy reminds him of the initial coin offering (ICO) craze of 2017-2018. In a detailed post on X (formerly Twitter), the crypto entrepreneur talked about how similar the two events are, trying to get investors’ attention about market conditions. This feels like ICOs again. What is absolutely clear from every conversation rn is that something needs to change. I’m a fan of markets and I think we can shift the incentives, people are now realising there are negative reputational externalities. — kain.uni @ HK (@kaiynne) February 18, 2025 Meme Coins & ICOs: Born from Market Flaws? Warwick pointed out that both trends, meme tokens and ICOs, came about because of structural inefficiencies in the industry—ICOs did well because of the high barriers of traditional fundraising, while meme coin… The post Synthetix Founder: Meme Coin Craze Echoes ICO Bubble, But There’s a Twist appeared first on Coin Edition.