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XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?
On the one-hour chart, XRP has shown minor recovery signs after rebounding from its $2.06 support level. The pattern of small green candles and uptick in volume suggests some intraday buying pressure. However, resistance near the $2.15 to $2.2 zone has capped further gains, making it a critical level for bulls to break. Traders may consider entries on pullbacks closer to support, aiming for profits within this narrow range. A stop-loss below $2.05 is advisable to mitigate downside risk on failed bullish attempts.
XRP/ USDT 1H chart on March 29, 2025.
The four-hour chart illustrates a clear downtrend, characterized by a series of red candles and occasional bullish pullbacks. Volume analysis reveals strong sell-offs, though the latest sessions reflect moderate recovery. Support remains strong at $2.06, and resistance in the $2.3 to $2.4 zone is proving formidable. Any rejection near $2.2 to $2.3 could be a potential entry for short positions. Conversely, a confirmed bullish engulfing candle above $2.1 with momentum may favor a cautious long approach. Stop-loss placements should align with $2.5 or $2.05 thresholds based on position direction.
XRP/ USDT 4H chart on March 29, 2025.
The daily chart reinforces a bearish market structure, with XRP forming lower highs and lower lows. The $1.9 level acts as a significant support zone, while resistance near $2.5 continues to challenge upward movements. Daily volume patterns favor sellers, especially on bearish candles, suggesting weak follow-through on rallies. While short entries near resistance levels may remain favorable, long positions should only be considered if a convincing bounce from $2.1 or $1.9 occurs alongside increased buying volume. Overall, the daily chart paints a cautious outlook for bullish traders.
XRP/ USDT 1D chart on March 29, 2025.
Oscillator readings indicate an overall neutral-to-bearish sentiment. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 40.14, suggesting neutral momentum without clear overbought or oversold conditions. The stochastic oscillator at 19.25 also signals neutrality, as does the commodity channel index (CCI) at -129.79. The average directional index (ADX) reads 12.71, pointing to a weak trend environment. On the bearish side, the awesome oscillator at -0.022, momentum at -0.406, and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at -0.036 all support a sell stance, signaling weak momentum and potential downward continuation in the short term.
XRP’s moving averages (MAs) confirm the bearish technical framework. The exponential moving averages (EMA) for 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100 periods all suggest sell conditions, with respective values consistently above current price levels. The simple moving averages (SMA) mirror this bearish pattern, with similar readings indicating sustained downside pressure. Notably, only the 200-period EMA at 1.938 and SMA at 1.779 flash a buy signal, reflecting long-term support. Until XRP can reclaim key EMA and SMA levels, particularly the 10 and 20-period thresholds, upside traction may remain limited.
For bullish traders, XRP may present a short-term opportunity if it can hold support at $2.06 and reclaim ground above $2.15 with increasing volume. A confirmed breakout above $2.3 could mark the beginning of a stronger upward move. Until then, scalping near support levels with tight risk controls offers the most favorable scenario for bulls in the current environment.
From a bearish perspective, XRP continues to exhibit weakness across all major timeframes, reinforced by sell signals from most oscillators and moving averages. Failed attempts to breach $2.15 or $2.3 resistance levels may serve as entry points for short positions, with downside potential toward the $2.00 or $1.90 zones. Bears retain control unless there is a decisive shift in trend strength or volume-backed momentum.
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XRP/USDT Short & Long Term Analysis
XRP/USDT analysis for 03/30/2024 at 12:49AM
Spot Recommendations:
Short-term:
• Current Price: 2.12150000
• Action: Sell
• Entry Price: 2.1215
• Stop Loss: 2.1410
• Take Profit: 2.0870
• Rationale:
— Primary Signals: XRPUSDT is currently exhibiting strong bearish signals on the 15m timeframe. The price has broken below a key support level around 2.1700, confirmed by multiple rejections at this level, that once held over the course of 3 days until a large sell off at approximately 5:30 PM EST. The recent price action has created lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. A short position is recommended with an entry around the current price (2.1215), a stop-loss just above the previous local high at 2.1410 to limit risk, and a take-profit near the next significant support area around 2.0870.
— Lagging Indicators: The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, confirming the downward momentum. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is below 50, but not yet oversold, indicating there is still room for the price to move lower. The On Balance Volume (OBV) has been decreasing, suggesting that selling pressure is dominating.
— Sentiment Analysis: The short-term sentiment is negative due to macroeconomic factors and regulatory concerns surrounding the SEC, which may apply pressure on the price in the short term. Additionally, the high trading volume around previous key levels indicates strong conviction in the current direction.
Long-term:
• Current Price: 2.12150000
• Action: Hold
• Entry Price: N/A
• Stop Loss: 1.9000
• Take profit: 2.7200
• Rationale:
— Primary Signals: Analyzing the daily timeframe for XRPUSDT shows a complex but consolidating picture. Since the highs of approximately $3.40, there has been a long term down trend. The price is currently trading within a wide range with support around $2.00 and resistance near $2.72. Given the current market conditions and the recent price action, a 'Hold' strategy is advisable for long-term spot positions.
— Lagging Indicators: The daily MACD shows that momentum is not showing any direction or strength, but the RSI of approximately 48 is hovering around the midpoint, and does not suggest either overbought or oversold conditions. These mixed signals recommend against any action at this time.
— Sentiment Analysis: While short-term market conditions are jittery due to macroeconomic factors and regulatory uncertainty, the long-term sentiment remains positive, which is supported by the legislative progress in the U.S. Congress. This coupled with positive news, institutional interest, and ongoing adoption suggests that the market could potentially recover in the long run.
$XRP