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Bitcoin's current slump aligns with historical patterns seen in previous post-halving years. The cryptocurrency began the week with a significant slump, briefly falling below $90,600, its lowest figure since November. This downturn marks a subdued period for BTC and the entire market, with whale activity and large transactions on the Bitcoin network also declining. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, the number of large Bitcoin transactions plummeted by 51.64% over the past month, dropping from 33,450 to 16,180. This dramatic reduction in whale activity often signals a cooling market, as these large players are typically seen as key drivers of Bitcoin price movements. However, many argue that Bitcoin's January slump is not unusual. Crypto analyst Axel Bitblaze pointed to similar patterns in January 2017, 2021, and now 2025, where Bitcoin experienced significant declines before pulling off notable bull runs. For instance, Bitcoin dropped from $1,185 to $800 in January 2017 and from $42,000 to $28,000 in January 2021. Historically, Bitcoin's price has increased substantially in the year following previous halving events, although the immediate effect on the price can vary and go sideways or down for a few months post-halving. On-chain indicators such as SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) suggest accumulation opportunities during periods of market pain, further aligning with historical patterns that have preceded significant price recoveries. Some experts predict that Bitcoin's price could reach $150,000 to $250,000 in the next year, based on growing institutional adoption, increasing demand from younger generations, and reduced supply post-halving ¹.

Hier ist eine kurze Zusammenfassung: Bitcoin-Rebound: Faktoren und Ausblick Bitcoin ($BTC) hat sich von seinem Tiefststand seit November erholt und die Marke von 96.000 $ wieder erreicht. Faktoren für den Rebound 1. *Federal Reserve*: Die wirtschaftlichen Signale der Federal Reserve haben die Investorenstimmung beeinflusst. 2. *US-Regierungs-Bitcoin-Bestand*: Die Entscheidung der US-Regierung, einen Teil ihrer beschlagnahmten Bitcoin-Bestände zu verkaufen, hat den Markt beeinflusst. 3. *Institutionelle Investitionen*: Unternehmen wie MicroStrategy haben ihre Investitionen in Bitcoin bestätigt. Breitere Markttrends Der Rebound von Bitcoin hat einen positiven Effekt auf den gesamten Kryptomarkt gehabt. Andere große Kryptowährungen wie XRP, Ether, Solana und Dogecoin haben ebenfalls zugelegt. Herausforderungen und Ausblick Trotz des Rebounds bleibt der Kryptomarkt anfällig für makroökonomische Faktoren und regulatorische Entwicklungen. Investoren sollten sich über regulatorische Änderungen und Markttrends informieren. Fazit Bitcoins Fähigkeit, sich von einem signifikanten Rückgang zu erholen, zeigt seine anhaltende Attraktivität und Widerstandsfähigkeit. Der Kryptomarkt bleibt jedoch volatil, und Investoren müssen sich auf die Komplexität regulatorischer Politiken und wirtschaftlicher Indikatoren einstellen.

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Is now the right time to buy Bitcoin? Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, says that Bitcoin could soon be one of the best-performing assets in 2025. But there’s a catch it needs to drop further before it can truly soar. As bitcoin already seeing a price drop from its ATH to currently at $94K. So, let’s see what Tom Lee Bitcoin’s prediction says. ◾Tom Lee’s Prediction for Bitcoin In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee explained that a 15% drop in Bitcoin’s price from its peak is not unusual for such a volatile asset. He explains that this type of correction is common and follows global liquidity trends. Lee also mentioned that we are still in the early stages of Bitcoin’s halving cycle, a factor that historically influences Bitcoin’s price. However, Fundstrat’s technical team predicts Bitcoin could dip another $20,000 before it begins to bounce back. Even Lee suggests that Bitcoin might drop to around $70,000 before it starts to recover. He believes this is a key level where Bitcoin could stabilize after a price drop ◾Bitcoin as a Long-Term Investment However, he further mentions that Bitcoin could fall even lower, possibly to $50,000, before starting its upward trend again. For those considering buying Bitcoin, Lee advises taking a long-term approach. He suggests that trying to time the market might work for some, but it’s not the safest strategy. He encourages investors to view Bitcoin as a long-term investment, with strong growth potential in the years ahead. ◾Key Dates to Watch for Bitcoin’s Lee also points out that January 15 is a crucial date to watch. That’s when the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data will be released, which could impact Bitcoin’s price. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates later in the month will be important for the broader market, including Bitcoin. ◾Big Gains in 2025 Despite short-term challenges, Lee remains confident that Bitcoin will perform well in the long term. Analysts from institutions like VanEck and Bitwise are also optimistic, predicting that Bitcoin could hit between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. This would be a huge leap, especially if the U.S. establishes a Bitcoin reserve. $BTC

Bitcoin has seen a lot of volatility in the past few hours, falling as low as $89,300 before quickly recovering to $94,000 at press time. The main reason was the US Dollar Strength Index (DXY) which surged to a peak of 110.1, putting pressure on Bitcoin and the financial markets. However, the index has started to decline again, showing signs that the DXY may have peaked. The rise in the value of the US dollar, as measured by the DXY, reflects the cautious sentiment of large investors who are preferring to hold cash and short-term bonds. At the same time, geopolitical tensions have increased as the US imposed more stringent sanctions on Russian crude oil exports, threatening the supply chains of major consuming countries such as China and India. Notably, Bitcoin’s rally coincided with news that Donald Trump is preparing to sign executive orders aimed at supporting the cryptocurrency industry on his first day in office. These orders are expected to reverse several key regulatory measures, including the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Staff Accounting Bulletin 121. According to a report from The Washington Post, these orders could help address some of the major challenges facing the cryptocurrency industry. Additionally, some analysts believe that Bitcoin’s recent performance has been significantly influenced by MicroStrategy. On January 13, the company announced that it had completed the purchase of 2,530 BTC in just one week, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to an impressive figure, backed by $6.5 billion from approved stock offerings. In addition, the company plans to raise an additional $2 billion through perpetual preferred stock offerings. $BTC