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Thought n Loss: am in loss for the current long position . but what i see and expecting in short-term period is another dip of big red candle , possible at Fomc

Macroeconomic factors pose a threat to crypto traders as tightening liquidity looms. Bitcoin, the largest crypto by market cap, has recorded significant gains since the United States elections, leading to bullish projections this year. However, recent price corrections and liquidity concerns could spell a short-term sting for the crypto market. The crypto market slumped 6.41% to $3.13 trillion, with billions in value liquidated. Fund flows are recorded in other financial assets on the heels of rising stocks and trader repositioning. Bitcoin has marked a short-term impact wiping out weekly gains and falling short over 5% in the last 24 hours. Crypto Analysts Flags Liquidity Concerns Financial analysts at cryptocurrency firm Matrixport highlighted the possible effects of a global shift in liquidity in Bitcoin and other crypto assets. This comes on the heels of a second term for Trump as President and the strengthening dollar. The dollar position has tightened its denominated liquidity, with traders flagging a consolidated phase. Per Matrixport analysts, the short-term headwinds come as liquidity changes can lead to BTC price movements in the 13-week range. This period clashed with anticipated price upticks, and events flipped positive in Q4 2024. The window for caution creates a dilemma for bulls, highlighting less favorable indicators. A major concern is the sharp decline of altcoins tipped for a bull peak in January. With total values down 10%, crypto traders will move slowly out of the red zone. Matrixport explained that previous metrics have shown liquidity indicators to be less favorable. “However, we anticipate this consolidation to be temporary, as the broader outlook for risk assets, particularly Bitcoin remains constructive. That said, traders may exercise greater caution when liquidity indicators are less favorable as these metrics have proven to be reliable leading indicators in the past.” Traders Pushed Towards Major Win Despite the recent liquidity squeeze, crypto traders are bound to have a bullish 2025 based on U.S. macro factors. Anticipated regulatory ease in the country is expected to usher in new inflows. Donald Trump has also expressed support for Bitcoin and other assets, restating plans to make the country a global leader. Most crypto commentators placed a yearly bull price range between $150k to $200k on the back of institutional demand. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs and a switch in traditional finance exposure rallied crypto markets to new highs with similar growth patterns this year.

The Bitcoin network seems like a ghost town, with its activities falling to the lowest level in a year. A Bitcoin Network Activity Index from the market analytics platform CryptoQuant hovers around 3,760, the lowest since February 2024, indicating that activity on the leading blockchain has plunged 15% since its November 2024 record high. According to a weekly CryptoQuant report, the index measures the growth in key Bitcoin metrics like block size, active addresses, and number of transactions. This means the decline in Bitcoin activity encompasses almost all areas of the network. Notably, the index has fallen below its 365-day moving average for the first time since July 2021, when China banned Bitcoin mining. Bitcoin Network Activity Declines Examining different parts of the Bitcoin network reveals a steep decline in their activities. The number of active addresses and transactions has fallen by double digits. The total daily number of transactions has tumbled 53% from an all-time high of 734,000 in September 2024 to 346,000 currently, the lowest level since March 2024. Likewise, the number of active addresses on Bitcoin has fallen 20% from 1.14 million in November 2023 to 942,000 today, the lowest level since October 2024. Bitcoin miners are also feeling the heat because total transaction fees have declined due to low network activity. Total daily transaction fees are $593,000, compared to late October 2024, when $4.7 million was the local top for fees. Transaction fees now represent 1.8% of total revenue for Bitcoin miners, indicating lower profitability for this cohort of market participants. BTC Appears Overvalued Furthermore, the low network activity is also evident in the almost empty Bitcoin mempool. The number of transactions waiting to be included in a block has fallen 99% from 287,000 in December 2024 to 3,000 currently. CryptoQuant says the mempool has not been this empty since March 2022, during the last bear market. Besides the nearly empty mempool, the Bitcoin network has witnessed a collapse in the use of the Runes protocol. Runes was created for minting tokens on the Bitcoin network, and when the protocol was launched in April 2024, the daily number of OP RETURN codes spiked to 802,000. However, that figure has fallen to 10,000 today, indicating that much fewer OP RETURN codes are used in Bitcoin transactions. Meanwhile, from a network activity perspective, bitcoin (BTC) appears overvalued at its current price of $97,000. The red and blue Metcalfe valuation bands show that the asset’s fair value is between $48,000 and $95,000. The post Bitcoin Network Activity Plunges to Yearly Lows as BTC Struggles Below $100K: CryptoQuant appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Adin Ross and Richard “FaZe Banks” Bengtson have revealed their intention to create a cryptocurrency-driven Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6) server. The duo, both highly influential in the gaming and streaming communities, announced their plans during a livestream, highlighting their goal of integrating a custom digital token into the game’s economy. Rockstar’s Policies Could Pose Challenges “When GTA 6 drops, me and Ricky are going to make the biggest server together,” Ross said on Monday. “I promise you, it’s going to be completely crypto. Everything pro-crypto about it. It’s going to change the game.” Banks elaborated on the project, stating that the server’s economy would be powered by “a newly-made coin,” while Ross added that they would invest significant funds into its development. Essentially, their vision centers on a blockchain-based in-game economy. However, Rockstar Games, the developer behind the Grand Theft Auto franchise, has historically opposed the use of cryptocurrency and NFTs in its games. In 2022, the company published an article that says it prohibits the integration of such assets in player-run servers for GTA Online and Red Dead Online. The policy led to the shutdown of several community-operated servers. Among those affected was The Trenches, a GTA Online server backed by rapper Lil Durk that featured NFTs. Take-Two Interactive, Rockstar’s parent company, also took legal action against multiple servers. Speculation and Rumors Despite the restrictions, speculation persists about whether Rockstar’s position might change with the new GTA 6. Some rumors going around in the community have suggested that the upcoming game could introduce crypto-based rewards or payment options. However, there has been no official communication from the team on the matter. Further, Take-Two Interactive has previously shown interest in blockchain technology through its acquisition of Zynga in 2022. The company, known for its mobile gaming portfolio, has been involved in several NFT-based gaming projects. At the time of the deal, Take-Two CEO Strauss Zelnick stated that the company had “Web3 opportunities” in mind that could be pursued in collaboration with Zynga. Notably, this hasn’t been officially linked to the Grand Theft Auto franchise. Additionally, the Rockstar owner was part of a $40 million funding round for Web3 gaming startup Horizon Blockchain back in 2022. With GTA 6 expected to launch later this year, its developer’s policies will play a crucial role in determining the feasibility of Ross and Banks’ crypto-driven server. The post Adin Ross and FaZe Banks Plan Crypto-Powered GTA 6 Server appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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