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Bitcoin continues to hover near the $82,000–$85,000 range as buyers struggle to regain momentum, while key on-chain data hints at interesting underlying dynamics. By Edris Derakhshi On the daily timeframe, BTC is attempting to defend the $80K support zone after another rejection from the $88,000 resistance and the 200-day moving average nearby, which now acts as a dynamic barrier. The price remains range-bound between $80,000 and $88,000, with no clear directional resolution yet. The RSI has also pulled back below the midline after failing to break above 60, showing a lack of strong momentum. Buyers need to see a confirmed daily close above $88,000 to invalidate the recent lower highs and reattempt the $92,000 level. On the downside, any clean break below $80,000 may open the path toward $74,000 and even $68,000. On the 4-hour chart, BTC was recently rejected sharply from the red resistance zone around $88,000 after consolidating below it for several days. This strong rejection, followed by a swift drop back into the $82K range, indicates short-term supply remains strong. Moreover, the RSI has cooled off from overbought levels and is now trending near 40, suggesting a loss in bullish momentum. For now, $80,000 remains the line in the sand, while the area between $86,500–$88,000 continues to cap upside attempts. A break from either side of this range is likely to trigger the next impulsive move. By Edris Derakhshi The Miner Reserve continues its long-term decline, marking one of the most sustained distribution trends by miners in years. This steady sell-side pressure from miners suggests they’ve been taking profit consistently throughout the rally, with the reserve now at multi-year lows near 1.81M BTC. While this persistent reduction hasn’t caused a structural breakdown in price, it does add a layer of supply pressure that could weigh on rallies, especially if retail demand softens. It also implies miners may be expecting lower prices or simply preparing liquidity ahead of the halving, making this a key metric to monitor in the coming weeks.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes warned via X that proposed Trump tariff policies could disrupt the U.S. Treasury market by reducing dollar inflows from exports. Hayes argued that if foreign nations, particularly major exporters like China, earn fewer dollars through trade, their capacity to buy U.S. bonds will decline. This scenario would pressure the Federal Reserve and domestic banks to absorb Treasury demand, Hayes explained, increasing the need for monetary expansion. Related: How a Potential Fed Shift to QE Could Impact Your Crypto Portfolio (Analysis) He described this potential outcome as requiring the Fed to “Brrrr”—a reference to large-scale money printing—to maintain market stability. The backdrop is the U.S.’s persistent current account deficit (including trade, services, income, transfers), which reached $1.15 trillion by Q4 2024, continuing a multi-decade trend deepened since the 1980s. Hayes linked this trend to long-standing trade policies, global manufacturing shifts, and China’s rise as an export powerhouse following its 1994 yuan devaluation and 2001 WTO entry, which coincided with declining U.S. manufacturing. While the U.S. runs ongoing trade deficits, its financial account (measuring capital flows) showed a surplus, reaching $1.25 trillion in Q4 2024, reflecting foreign purchases of U.S. assets. Hayes noted exporters often use earned dollars to buy U.S. treasuries and equities rather than converting to home currencies, helping keep export prices competitive and funding U.S. markets. This system, where export dollars are recycled into U.S. assets despite trade gaps, supports U.S. financial markets and funds government borrowing. Related: Trump’s “Liberation Day” Arrives: How Will New Tariffs Affect Crypto Prices? However, Hayes warned that restricting trade flows via tariffs could cut off these vital inflows, increasing stress on the Treasury market. Hayes also observed that while Trump is vocal about trade restructuring, both major U.S. parties have pursued similar policies recently. Former President Biden extended limits on Chinese access to U.S. technology, and key Democratic figures have echoed tough trade stances. With the Treasury aiming to reduce the federal deficit significantly (e.g., from ~7% towards 3%) by 2028, sustained capital gains from strong financial markets are critical. Hayes cautioned that reducing foreign dollar inflows via tariffs could jeopardize that outcome, complicating fiscal planning amid rising debt rollovers. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

Singapore Gulf Bank (SGB) launched their personal banking services, notably allowing integrated crypto transactions alongside advanced foreign exchange (forex) services. With this expansion , SGB aims to bridge traditional banking with digital asset finance, catering to customers seeking options for global transactions. The bank’s move aligns with the latest trend where established banks incorporate blockchain technology to meet their client’ financial demands. The new SGB personal banking offering includes features like global wire transfers, multi-currency foreign exchange capabilities, and payment channels utilizing cryptocurrencies, according to the bank’s announcement. Customers can now use SGB-issued payment cards and transact in multiple fiat currencies as well as selected digital currencies through the bank’s platform. This initiative signals SGB’s intent to compete directly in the cross-border payments arena, positioning itself against both established fintech players like Revolut and Wirex, and specialized Swiss digital asset banks such as SEBA and Sygnum. Related: Singapore’s Whampoa Group Plans Digital Bank in Bahrain SGB is backed by Bahrain’s sovereign wealth fund, Mumtalakat, and Singapore’s private investment firm, Whampoa Group. Such a strong backing adds credibility for the bank as it expands within the competitive global banking sector. SGB’s launch comes as the cryptocurrency sector gains significant traction within Bahrain, now making up 7% of the market . Related: Former JPMorgan Regional Head Joins Bahrain’s Digital Bank The Central Bank of Bahrain (CBB) first issued its detailed Crypto-Assets Module regulations back in 2019. Amended further in 2023, the CBB’s module addressed subsequent market developments, strengthened rules around investor protection, and formally included regulations covering digital token offerings within its supervisory scope. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

Mastercard builds blockchain network to connect TradFi and crypto Global credit card company Mastercard is developing a “Multi-Token Network” to enable smooth digital asset transfers among consumers, merchants and financial institutions. Raj Dhamodharan, executive vice president

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