It’s Official: "Reciprocal Tariff" Week Has Begun
President Trump has dubbed this Wednesday, April 2nd, as “Liberation Day”, and it’s not just a catchy name — it marks the largest escalation in the global trade war to date.
Get ready: the markets are heading into one of the most volatile weeks in years.
What’s Happening?
President Trump is launching new “Reciprocal Tariffs” on 20%+ tariffs affecting 25+ countries, on top of already existing tariffs.
By the end of April, over $1.5 TRILLION worth of imports will be impacted.
Markets had hoped April 2nd would bring clarity — but instead, it may spark unprecedented global economic retaliation.
LIVE US Tariffs Already Include:
♦️ 25% on all steel & aluminum
♦️ 25% on most Canadian goods, 10% on Canadian energy
♦️ 25% on all Mexican goods
♦️ 20% on many Chinese imports
New tariffs coming this week:
♦️ 25% auto tariffs
♦️ 25% tariffs on countries buying Venezuelan oil
♦️ Pharmaceutical tariffs — just announced Friday
Global Retaliation Begins
♦️ Canada already hit back with $21B in reciprocal tariffs
♦️ China imposed 10–15% tariffs on US agriculture
♦️ EU promises full retaliation
♦️ Mexico’s president will announce counter-tariffs on April 3rd
We’re witnessing reciprocal tariffs on reciprocal tariffs — this is turning into one of the largest trade wars in modern history.
The Impact Is Already Massive
♦️ Average US tariff rate is now ~8% — highest since 1970
♦️ By end of April, the 1946 record high may be broken
♦️ Policy Uncertainty Index is off the charts — 80% HIGHER than 2008
♦️ Consumer Sentiment has fallen to 57, matching 2008 crisis levels
♦️ Economic slowdown has already started
Markets in Chaos
♦️ Gold ETFs saw $12B inflows in just 2 months
♦️ Gold is up +17% YTD
♦️ S&P 500 is down -5% YTD
♦️ Institutional capital is fleeing stocks at historic levels
♦️ Magnificent 7 stocks lost $3 TRILLION in market cap — while retail traders bought the dip
This divergence is a flashing red signal.
Wednesday’s New Additions:
♦️ Introduction of the “External Revenue Service” — a body focused on tariff enforcement and collection
♦️ Auto Tariffs alone will affect $275+ BILLION/year in imports
♦️ Trump aims to generate $600 BILLION per year in tariff revenue — effectively a new national tax
Tariffs = Inflation Fuel
♦️ In Trade War 1.0, PCE prices in tariffed goods rose +4%,
while non-tariff categories fell -2%
♦️ Expect inflation to run HOT in Q2 2025
♦️ Price hikes will be passed to consumers — across autos, pharma, oil, and electronics
Geo-Political Heat Rising
Trump warns:
♦️ Iran will face military action if no nuclear deal is made
♦️ 25–50% tariffs on Russian oil are on the table
♦️ Secondary tariffs on Iran to follow
Which US Sectors Are at Risk?
♦️ Automobiles
♦️ Pharmaceuticals
♦️ Semiconductors
These are expected to bear the brunt of international retaliation.
In Summary:
The world isn’t just heading into a tariff storm — we’re already in it.
April 2nd will mark a critical turning point, and markets are already showing signs of extreme stress.
This is Trump’s Trade War 2.0 — and it could reshape the global economy.
Stay alert. Stay informed. And DYOR.
Markets Gain On Euro Data, Eyes on Trump’s Speech
While European markets are experiencing a technical rise, attention turns to Washington. Supported by encouraging economic indicators, the main stock indices of the Old Continent closed in the green this Tuesday. However, this improvement remains fragile. Investors are holding their breath ahead of potentially decisive announcements from Donald Trump, who could reignite the U.S. trade offensive. The prospect of new tariff barriers rekindles tensions and threatens to reshuffle the cards of the global economic balance.
The European stock exchanges ended significantly up this Tuesday, driven by economic data deemed encouraging in the eurozone.
The CAC 40 climbed by 1.15 % to 7880.1 points, the German DAX gained 1.67 %, and the British FTSE rose 0.61 %. This increase is primarily explained by a deceleration of inflation in the eurozone in March, which fuels hopes for a more accommodative monetary policy from the ECB.
Inflation is slowing down, paving the way for a more flexible ECB, while the EuroStoxx 50 index also recorded a gain of 1.49 %. This context has rekindled appetite for risky assets, which has influenced bond markets.
Among the key elements that supported the markets this Tuesday, there are:
The day’s rise is therefore not a reflection of genuine enthusiasm, but rather a tactical positioning in the face of a European central bank likely to ease its policy, as the U.S. economy shows signs of critical slowing.
The relative optimism observed in the markets hides a deeper concern related to American trade policy. President Donald Trump is set to speak this Wednesday . He is expected to impose a 20 % increase in tariffs on nearly all American imports.
This measure would mark a significant escalation in his nationalist economic agenda. “Trump is implementing his program strongly, without worrying about disruptions in financial markets,” summarizes Alexandre Hezez, a strategist at Banque Richelieu. He adds that “his back-and-forths reduce the confidence of economic players and force central banks to adjust their strategy.”
The American economic situation exacerbates these tensions. The ISM manufacturing index, published on Tuesday, fell into contraction territory, illustrating a deterioration of industrial activity.
At the same time, companies are reporting a surge in input prices, which have reached a peak since June 2022, a situation that could be amplified by a more aggressive tariff policy.
Trump, facing a slim majority in the House of Representatives, seeks to “massively cut spending” and to “demonstrate the positive effects of his policy for American households,” even at the risk of “creating a significant short-term deterioration,” according to Alexandre Hezez.
This stated positioning could place the Fed in a delicate situation and affect global economic stability in the long run.
If the announced measures are realized, the repercussions could be multiple. In terms of trade, they risk provoking retaliation, exacerbating tensions with China or the European Union, and fueling imported inflation. On the market level, they could further erode confidence and push investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, sovereign bonds… or cryptos.
Crypto Market Divided Ahead of April 2 “Liberation Day”: BTC Waits, Alts Run
The cryptocurrency market remains cautious Tuesday as investors await April 2nd, “Liberation Day,” as the Trump administration termed it when they impose new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations .
Market leaders Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed only modest gains over the past day. However, several altcoins were the true market movers, including Walrus (WAL), EOS, Curve Finance (CRV), and AI16Z. According to CoinMarketCap data, over the past 24 hours, WAL gained 22%, EOS climbed 15.19%, CRV rose 18.18%, and AI16Z’s price increased 16.75%.
Additionally, certain small-cap tokens delivered substantial gains, such as RFC (+293%) and DOGINME (+58.9%), according to CryptoRank. This data highlighted ongoing speculative momentum in specific market segments despite broader caution.
Despite near-term uncertainty, institutional players continue to demonstrate confidence in Bitcoin. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) added another 22,048 BTC to its corporate treasury, spending $1.92 billion for this latest batch at an average price of $86,900 per BTC.
Meanwhile, stablecoin issuer Tether acquired 8,888 BTC (worth ~$735M at the time) during the first quarter of 2025. These large purchases reinforce the view that major institutions are positioning for Bitcoin’s potential long-term appreciation.
Bitcoin’s current price action suggests consolidation. A critical near-term resistance level sits at $84,824, aligning with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key short-term trend indicator. Chart analysis also indicates BTC might be in a potential accumulation phase above a key support level currently identified near $76,180.
If BTC fails to reclaim the 20-day EMA soon, it could retest lower support levels. Prominent technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin has an “air gap” below $80,000, meaning very little established technical support exists until the $70,000 price area.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 24 , indicating significant “Fear” among market participants. Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s market dominance (BTC.D) remains above 61%, generally suppressing conditions needed for a sustainable, broad altcoin market rally.
The chart tracking the total market cap of altcoins excluding Bitcoin (often called TOTAL2) highlights a declining Relative Strength Index (RSI), a commonly used momentum indicator. The RSI currently hovers around 40.40. This RSI level suggests altcoins may remain in a neutral-to-bearish short-term posture.
However, a bounce from these RSI levels could signal renewed upward momentum for altcoins. If the RSI moves back above the 50 level, the altcoin market could potentially see a significant rally.
Analysis using Fibonacci retracement levels further indicates key areas to watch. If the total altcoin market cap holds support above the 1.0 Fib level (around $923 billion), a potential breakout could follow.
The next major resistance target based on this analysis aligns with the 1.618 Fib extension level (around $1.16 trillion). However, if the broader market weakens further, lower Fibonacci support levels at the 2.618 ($630B), 3.618 ($450B), and 4.236 ($380B) extensions could come into play.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
🚨 JOLTS Job Openings report for Feb 25 will be released today at 2:00 PM UTC (in 3 hours).
In January, job openings rose by 232,000 to 7.74 million, up from a revised 7.51 million in December and above the market forecast of 7.63 million, indicating the job market hasn’t slowed down yet.
For February, the forecasts are pointing to a drop towards 7.63 million.
→ Why this matters:
The JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) is an indicator of labor demand.
When job openings stay high, it often means the labor market is tight: employers are competing for workers, which can push wages up.
The FED watches this data closely because wage growth can contribute to inflation.
If job openings come in higher than expected, it could make the Fed more cautious about cutting interest rates.
Oasis 社群媒體數據
過去 24 小時,Oasis 社群媒體情緒分數是 1,社群媒體上對 Oasis 價格走勢偏向 看跌。Oasis 社群媒體得分是 153,在所有加密貨幣中排名第 224。
根據 LunarCrush 統計,過去 24 小時,社群媒體共提及加密貨幣 1,058,120 次,其中 Oasis 被提及次數佔比 0.02%,在所有加密貨幣中排名第 125。
過去 24 小時,共有 1,226 個獨立用戶談論了 Oasis,總共提及 Oasis 199 次,然而,與前一天相比,獨立用戶數 增加 了 15%,總提及次數減少。
Twitter 上,過去 24 小時共有 1 篇推文提及 Oasis,其中 0% 看漲 Oasis,100% 篇推文看跌 Oasis,而 0% 則對 Oasis 保持中立。
在 Reddit 上,最近 24 小時共有 29 篇貼文提到了 Oasis,相比之前 24 小時總提及次數 增加 了 12%。
社群媒體資訊概況
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