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♦️ Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market continued their downward trend on Friday as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalated. ♦️ Bitcoin price dropped to $82,000, erasing some of the gains made during the Asian and European markets. Ethereum dropped below $1,800, while the market cap of all coins fell to $2.64 trillion. The stock market’s performance was even worse as futures tied to the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices plunged by over 3%. This means that these blue-chip indices have all moved into a correction. ⭕ Trade war escalates ⭕ Bitcoin, altcoins, and equities declined after China announced its retaliatory measures against the U.S. In a statement, Beijing said it would impose a 34% tariff on all goods imported from the U.S. In addition, China will restrict exports of certain rare earth minerals, halt sorghum imports from U.S. companies, and add 11 American firms to its unreliable entity list. These measures mark the most significant response to Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs. Other countries, especially those in Europe, have called for negotiations to prevent the trade war from expanding. Trump and senior officials have warned that the U.S. will deliver reciprocal tariffs on any country that retaliates. They’ve urged trading partners to lower their tariffs and non-tariff barriers instead. Therefore, Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market are falling as these actions lead to higher odds of a recession. Polymarket data shows that traders have boosted their recession odds to 56%. Companies like Goldman Sachs and PIMCO have also boosted their recession odds. These fears have pushed market sentiment into extreme territory. The CNN Money Fear and Greed Index dropped to 6, the lowest reading since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Investor pessimism intensified after billionaire and former Bond King Bill Gross warned against buying the dip. He said: “Investors should not try to ‘catch a falling knife. This is an epic economic and market event similar to 1971 and the end of the gold standard except with immediate negative consequences.” ⭕ Bitcoin, Altcoins, and the Stock Market Fall After NFP Data ⭕ Markets also weakened after the U.S. released the latest nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report. The data showed that unemployment rose to 4.2% in March, up from 4.1% in February. The economy added 228,000 jobs, beating analysts’ median forecast of 137,000. However, the manufacturing sector, which Trump aims to protect with his tariff policy, created just 1,000 jobs. These figures will likely have minimal impact on the Federal Reserve, which remains focused on inflation and GDP growth. Meanwhile, the bond market is signaling expectations of lower interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.89%, while the 30-year and 2-year yields declined to 4.38% and 3.5%, respectively. If the Fed cuts rates, it would likely be bullish for Bitcoin, altcoins, and the broader stock market. $BTC $ETH $XRP

The Greenback is reclaiming some losses for this week after strong NFP numbers. Focus shifts now to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaking later this Friday. The US Dollar Index is back above 102.00 and looks to close above the level before the weekend. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, rallied after some strong Nonfarm Payrolls numbers while markets look ahead for Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech up next. China meanwhile lashed out at the US tariffs by imposing a 34% tariff on all US goods from April 10th, a day after the US tariffs will be imposed. Question will be if other countries join China in retaliation while the 'deal-making' US President Donald Trump was referring to on Thursday, does not seem to be taking place right now. On the economic calendar front, the Nonfarm Payrolls release (NFP) came in upbeat at 228,000, far from the consensus view of 135,000. The most positive forecast was for 200,000, which makes the actual number an outside surprise. Now focus shifts to the Federal Reserve to see if Fed Chairman Powell can alter or support the current stance in the DXY.

NFP today kek

The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key economic indicator in the U.S. that can impact crypto markets indirectly through its effect on the U.S. dollar, interest rates, and investor sentiment. Scenario: Previous NFP: 151K Forecast: 135K If the actual NFP comes in lower than the previous (151K) and around or below the forecast (135K), here's what it could mean: 1. Weaker Labor Market This suggests the U.S. job market is cooling down, which could: Push the Federal Reserve to pause or cut interest rates sooner. Lead to a weaker U.S. dollar. 2. Impact on Crypto A weaker dollar and lower interest rate expectations often make risk assets like crypto more attractive. So if the market interprets the NFP as soft: It could be bullish for Bitcoin and crypto overall. Buy pressure may increase on major coins. But... It also depends on: How much below or above forecast the actual NFP comes in. Market expectations beyond the forecast. Fed comments following the report. Summary: If the actual NFP is around or below 135K, especially well below 151K, and markets interpret it as dovish, it could be a buying opportunity for crypto. But if it’s much stronger than expected, it may cause a short-term pullback due to fears of rate hikes.

📊Good morning, Traders ☀️ Hope you all rested well. As we head into this weekend, I want to quickly touch on something important that’s stirring up the markets right now. Donald Trump is back in the headlines — and just like before, he’s not just making noise, he’s shaking the market. His recent comments and political positioning have started to cause volatility across the board, especially in USD-related pairs. If you remember, during his previous term, his tweets and unexpected policy moves used to create sudden spikes in market movements. The same pattern may be starting again. Traders, don’t sleep on this — the market doesn’t wait for anyone. Also, today is NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) day — one of the most impactful news releases in forex. NFP Fridays are known for extreme volatility. The market can be very unpredictable leading up to and especially after the news drops. So here’s my advice to you: 📌 Trade with extreme caution today 📌 If you're not confident, it's okay to sit this one out 📌 Remember — it's the end of the week. You don't want to ruin your gains or risk unnecessary losses chasing setups on a Friday like this. Smart traders know when to strike and when to chill. Today might just be one of those days where less is more. Stay sharp, stay safe, and trade like a pro. — Mails