Users of the cryptocurrency betting platform Polymarket believe that Donald Trump will stop the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine with a probability of 48%.
Polymarket is taking bets on Trump ending the fighting within 90 days of his inauguration as US President on January 20, 2025. Since adding the event to the betting line on October 23, the odds of a positive outcome have increased by 45% and are now is 48%.
During the election campaign, Donald promised to stop the armed conflict in 24 hours, apparently after his formal return to the White House. In this regard, many members of the crypto community are betting on a positive outcome and believe that Polymarket provides an opportunity to earn impressive profits with virtually no risk, since a successful bet on the end of hostilities will increase capital by 108%.
One Polymarket user who bet on Trump's success in the peacekeeping mission claimed that Donald is already developing a plan to resolve the conflict, which would include a ban on Ukraine joining NATO for 20 years. In this way, Trump hopes to encourage the Russian side to negotiate.
He will end [the fighting] in 10 days at worst, maybe he will do it before he takes office (but then Biden will take credit for it), wrote one bettor.