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🎙 @NEARFoundation COO @ChrisDoNEARvan says “There are trillions of dollars worth of assets, and blockchain will play a powerful role in that context.” Despite the broader market picture, he sees “a lot of exciting signals” on both the retail and institutional sides, pointing to

One of the most important things as a trader, is to record your thoughts and scenarios that you play in your head in real time and check back later what actually happened and analyze why or why it not happened. Humans are very easy at forgetting, especially when making mistakes!

The stock market? A real headache. Between plunges and rebounds, the general impression is that of a stormy wind, a calm before another gust, or perhaps a calm illusion. In any case, no one is hiding behind the reasons for this volatility: inflation, geopolitical tensions, trade war. All these elements combined have turned the beginning of the year into a true obstacle course. And the CAC 40, in particular, faced a new trial marked by a drop below 6900 points. The last black week for the stock markets, which recently erased 3,250 billion dollars , was marked by a brutal fall of the CAC 40, dropping below 6900 points. An 8% drop that reflects the increasing nervousness of investors in the face of an increasingly uncertain economic context. As France and Europe are still adapting to the economic consequences of the conflict in Ukraine and controversial economic decisions, this plunge adds to the long list of geopolitical uncertainties. “It’s only Monday“, wonders NG Investing The impact on the Paris market has been massive, with many flagship stocks like LVMH, Airbus, Hermès, and BNP Paribas recording significant declines. These figures highlight the extent of the widespread fall, not only in France but also globally. Beyond the CAC 40, several European and American indices have also been severely affected, escalating fears of a global recession. The technical situation of the CAC 40 has become crucial. The index is currently under a key support at 6800 points, a level that could play a decisive role in the coming days. If this support breaks, bearish prospects will be confirmed, with resistances to watch around 7150 points. However, analysts are not losing hope for a technical rebound, especially if an external or internal catalyst comes to restore confidence. The traded volumes are increasing, but this does not seem sufficient to reverse a bearish trend that primarily affects the large stocks in the market. The lack of positive news on economic fundamentals, notably the absence of direct support measures for businesses and consumers, limits the possibilities for a quick recovery. As technical analyses highlight, 7500 points will be a major resistance test. In the event of a rebound, investors will need to keep an eye on macroeconomic developments and political decisions that could influence this dynamic. The upcoming decisions from the Eurogroup, the meeting of European finance ministers, are anticipated as a potentially determining catalyst for the region’s economic future. As the global tariff crisis initiated by the United States persists, the EU must react quickly to contain the effects of the trade war. The European policy, particularly in terms of countermeasures, could play a crucial role in stabilizing the economic situation. Comments from Sophie Primas, government spokesperson, also reveal the seriousness of the situation: It will be difficult to maintain 0.9% growth in 2025, it will be much lower. These statements confirm the necessity of strong and immediate EU decisions to limit pressure on financial markets and avoid a prolonged recession. If trade tensions are not quickly alleviated, the negative effects on European economies could extend, worsening market volatility and uncertainty. Thus, the outcome of the negotiations within the Eurogroup could not only influence monetary policy decisions but also directly affect the performances of European stock indices, including the CAC 40. Waiting for a European reaction to Trump’s countermeasures, the market remains suspended to the decisions of the Eurogroup this week. The CAC 40 could see a rebound if European decisions go towards effective counter-attacks , but the situation remains fragile. Markets are waiting and scrutinizing the EU’s choices, which must avoid letting volatility turn into a crisis.

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Bitcoin (BTC) is currently dancing on a razor’s edge near $82,500, and traders are watching nervously. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness—raising the question: Is Bitcoin price preparing for a deep drop to $60,000 , or is this a bear trap before the next rally? Let’s dive into the daily and hourly charts to decode the truth behind BTC’s next major move. On the daily chart, Bitcoin continues to struggle below major resistance levels. The Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and red, signaling a lack of momentum and indecision in the market. Price action is firmly below all major moving averages—with the 20 SMA at $84,477, 50 SMA at $86,921, and 100 SMA at $92,808. This alignment indicates a clear bearish structure where each rally is being sold into. What’s more concerning is that Bitcoin has failed multiple times to reclaim the 100-day SMA, indicating sustained selling pressure from institutions and swing traders. The presence of the 200 SMA below current price around $86,675 had acted as a temporary support in March, but it has now turned neutral as price hovers well below it. The ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) has sharply dropped, confirming distribution over accumulation. This means that even during slight upward moves, smart money has been offloading, not adding to positions. Without a turn in the ADL, any bounce is suspect. Zooming into the 1-hour chart, the picture becomes even more clear: Bitcoin is grinding downward in a slow, controlled bleed. After peaking briefly around $87K on April 2nd, BTC experienced sharp rejection and has since been forming lower highs. The recent attempt to climb was stopped cleanly at the 200 SMA near $83,300, confirming it as short-term resistance. The moving averages on the hourly (20, 50, and 100 SMA) are compressing and curving downward, which typically leads to momentum breakdowns, especially when paired with flat volume and fading bullish candles. The most recent Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and leaning bearish, showing that the bulls are losing steam and failing to defend even intraday bounces. The hourly ADL is declining, further confirming the lack of demand at current price levels. Retail interest appears low, and there’s no sign of whale-driven accumulation on this timeframe either. Immediate support lies at $82,000, which has been tested several times over the past few sessions. A decisive break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff down to $78,500, with a psychological and structural support zone around $75,000. If that fails, then the long-feared move toward $69,000–$60,000 could come into play quickly. On the upside, resistance sits heavy around $84,500, followed by $86,900, both marked by the daily 20 and 50 SMA zones. Only a break above $87,500–$88,000, backed by volume, would confirm a bullish reversal and negate the current bearish setup. Short-Term Outlook (Next 48–72 hours): If $82,000 fails, expect a fast drop to $78,000 or lower. If bulls hold the line and reclaim $84,500 with volume, we might see a short-term bounce to $87K. Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 weeks): Without a break above the 100-day SMA, Bitcoin price is at risk of cascading down to $75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, and macroeconomic news or ETF flows could tip the balance. Long-Term Outlook (Rest of April 2025): If $75,000 breaks in April, then a full correction down to $60,000 is on the table. However, if bulls manage to regain $90K territory, it could open the door back to $100K. The charts are clear—Bitcoin price is at a critical level. The current structure favors bears, with no strong signs of reversal just yet. Accumulation is weak, momentum is fading, and major resistances are pushing BTC price lower. Unless bulls step in with force soon, a deep correction could be just around the corner. So, is Bitcoin price heading for $60,000 or ready to bounce? For now, the trend says: Proceed with caution. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently dancing on a razor’s edge near $82,500, and traders are watching nervously. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness—raising the question: Is Bitcoin price preparing for a deep drop to $60,000 , or is this a bear trap before the next rally? Let’s dive into the daily and hourly charts to decode the truth behind BTC’s next major move. On the daily chart, Bitcoin continues to struggle below major resistance levels. The Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and red, signaling a lack of momentum and indecision in the market. Price action is firmly below all major moving averages—with the 20 SMA at $84,477, 50 SMA at $86,921, and 100 SMA at $92,808. This alignment indicates a clear bearish structure where each rally is being sold into. What’s more concerning is that Bitcoin has failed multiple times to reclaim the 100-day SMA, indicating sustained selling pressure from institutions and swing traders. The presence of the 200 SMA below current price around $86,675 had acted as a temporary support in March, but it has now turned neutral as price hovers well below it. The ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) has sharply dropped, confirming distribution over accumulation. This means that even during slight upward moves, smart money has been offloading, not adding to positions. Without a turn in the ADL, any bounce is suspect. Zooming into the 1-hour chart, the picture becomes even more clear: Bitcoin is grinding downward in a slow, controlled bleed. After peaking briefly around $87K on April 2nd, BTC experienced sharp rejection and has since been forming lower highs. The recent attempt to climb was stopped cleanly at the 200 SMA near $83,300, confirming it as short-term resistance. The moving averages on the hourly (20, 50, and 100 SMA) are compressing and curving downward, which typically leads to momentum breakdowns, especially when paired with flat volume and fading bullish candles. The most recent Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and leaning bearish, showing that the bulls are losing steam and failing to defend even intraday bounces. The hourly ADL is declining, further confirming the lack of demand at current price levels. Retail interest appears low, and there’s no sign of whale-driven accumulation on this timeframe either. Immediate support lies at $82,000, which has been tested several times over the past few sessions. A decisive break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff down to $78,500, with a psychological and structural support zone around $75,000. If that fails, then the long-feared move toward $69,000–$60,000 could come into play quickly. On the upside, resistance sits heavy around $84,500, followed by $86,900, both marked by the daily 20 and 50 SMA zones. Only a break above $87,500–$88,000, backed by volume, would confirm a bullish reversal and negate the current bearish setup. Short-Term Outlook (Next 48–72 hours): If $82,000 fails, expect a fast drop to $78,000 or lower. If bulls hold the line and reclaim $84,500 with volume, we might see a short-term bounce to $87K. Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 weeks): Without a break above the 100-day SMA, Bitcoin price is at risk of cascading down to $75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, and macroeconomic news or ETF flows could tip the balance. Long-Term Outlook (Rest of April 2025): If $75,000 breaks in April, then a full correction down to $60,000 is on the table. However, if bulls manage to regain $90K territory, it could open the door back to $100K. The charts are clear—Bitcoin price is at a critical level. The current structure favors bears, with no strong signs of reversal just yet. Accumulation is weak, momentum is fading, and major resistances are pushing BTC price lower. Unless bulls step in with force soon, a deep correction could be just around the corner. So, is Bitcoin price heading for $60,000 or ready to bounce? For now, the trend says: Proceed with caution.