A hard landing is a term borrowed from aviation, used to describe a sharp and abrupt economic slowdown following a period of rapid growth. Unlike a smooth and gradual transition, known as a soft landing, a hard landing can cause significant disruptions and challenges within an economy. This concept is crucial for understanding the potential risks and consequences associated with economic policies and market conditions.
In simple terms, a hard landing happens when an economy, which has been growing quickly, suddenly hits a rough patch and slows down dramatically. This rapid shift can lead to increased unemployment, business closures, and a decrease in investment. Imagine an airplane descending too quickly and hitting the runway with a jolt; similarly, a hard landing in the economy can cause widespread discomfort and uncertainty for everyone involved.
Central banks and policymakers strive to avoid hard landings by carefully managing economic growth and inflation. They aim for a soft landing, where the economy slows down gradually without causing significant harm. However, if measures like raising interest rates are applied too aggressively or too late, they can inadvertently trigger a hard landing.
Examples of these would be the Great Recession from 2007-2009, precipitated by the Federal Reserve's efforts to cool down an overheated real estate market. Hard landings could come through cryptos due to regulatory changes, technological failures, or sudden shifts in market sentiment. These can cause tremendous price drops and market volatility, putting into consideration the fact that, among other effects of such occurrences, investors are mainly bound to suffer in the general financial ecosystems.